Riding Result Predictions

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Overall Party Prediction Charts

Version 11.4.3.1 added a new predictions results page with a couple overall party charts. These charts help you to compare your predictions to what is presently unfolding in the election results. It is presented in 2 charts which display the same data in 2 different groupings.

The minimum predicted value includes ridings that the party is predicted to win by a large margin (landslide). The maximum value includes all ridings the party is predicted to be a possible winner.

The minimum adjusted value includes ridings that the party is elected in or is not yet elected but was predicted to win by a large margin. The max adjusted value includes all ridings the party is elected in or is predicted to be a possible winner.

The minimum actual value represents the number of ridings the party is elected in and the maximum actual value represents the number of ridings the party is leading in.

A possible winner is defined as a party that is predicted to have a percentage of votes that is within a set margin of the actual winner. This margin is set as a preference (Potential Winner Allowed Difference).

The first chart displays the prediction, adjusted prediction and actual results grouped by party.

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The second chart displays the prediction, adjusted prediction and actual results grouped by these categories.

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System Preferences

Interesting Events Enabled

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Sets the value that controls how much margin you have to have on the second highest potential to be considered an landlslidelandslide/guaranteed/certain winner in the riding.

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